I love reading the Lefty blogs. Well, I love it when I can get past the sheer feelings of horror and disgust that reading that obscenity laced, hate-filled drivel that passes for commentary on that side of the aisle. But once you get past that, you can notice some trends.
One thing the Left does that the right doesn’t do, and doesn’t really seem to understand, is to settle on a “narrative” as quickly as possible. It is really sort of fun watching the narrative develop, evolve and ultimately transmogrify into yet another example of the sheer genius of the Left and the caveman-like stupidity of the right.
Case in point. Obamacare.
Two years ago Obamacare was a slam-dunk. Conservatives who suggested there might be constitutional issues with the law were derided as idiots. The narrative of the constitutionality of Obamacare became so entrenched that Nancy Pelosi famously responded to an innocent question about the constitutionality of the law by saying “Are you kidding me? Are you kidding me?”
This state of affairs went on for more than a year even as lawsuits on the constitutionality of the law were being decided rather regularly in both directions. For every case that declared the law constitutional, another would declare it unconstitutional. And yet the narrative in the Lefty universe thrived. The potential for the SCOTUS to rule otherwise was considered to be in the same category as “birtherism”, which is to say, not something polite news anchors would dignify with the slightest hint that a story existed on the subject.
Then, earlier this year, the SCOTUS actually began hearing arguments on the case, and it was clear even to the intellectually inbred lock-step meme-following minions of the Left that there really was a story there. But it was so bizarre, so counter to the narrative, that even after the Obama administration’s solicitor general made an absolute ass of himself attempting to argue the administration’s side of the issue, the news still did not report that it was seriously at risk of being overturned.
And all through the Spring and into early Summer this nervous disregard of the situation prevailed.
Until last week. Because the SCOTUS session is ending this coming week and even the most hide-bound ideologically blind partisan could no longer escape the notion that the actual SCOTUS ruling was probably all sealed up and waiting for the press announcement.
So since last week I’ve been watching the narrative, and it has now become all about Obama. Many of the key Lefty voices have more or less accepted that the SCOTUS ruling is not going to be 100% in favor of the law. At the very least there is a sense that the individual mandate will be declared unconstitutional.
So now the narrative has become all about what this means for Obama’s re-election effort. The law itself is not even anything they care about anymore, the only thing they care about is what it means for Obama.
And the result of their analysis is very interesting. Here it is:
1. In the event that the SCOTUS blesses the entire law and declares it 100% constitutional, that is awesomely great news for Obama and will almost certainly not only rocket him to re-election, but will get his visage carved up next to Jefferson, Washington, Lincoln and Roosevelt on Mt. Rushmore. You can almost see the drool on the desk as they type these words.
2. In the event that the SCOTUS revokes the individual mandate, but blesses the rest of the law, that will be even better news for Obama, because that too will rocket him to re-election with a mandate to “fix” the individual mandate “problem.”
3. In the event that the entire law is declared unconstitutional, that is really, really great news for Obama. Not quite as good as option #1 or #2, but still this will finally mobilize the moribund “Obama coalition” into frantic effort and will cause a river of fund-raising to flood into Obama’s pockets, thus guaranteeing a victory over Republicans who will have “lost their most galvanizing issue for the right wing” and who will become lazy and over-confident.
So the bottom line for the Left is that win, lose or draw it’s all good news for Obama.
My take on this is not quite as positive for Obama. Although I do think that if the SCOTUS rules in favor of the whole law, that will be bad, bad news for Republicans. The other two options are not good news for Obama, but for them to have the sort of impact they need to have on his re-election chances, Republicans will have to explain to the American people just how irresponsible and power-mad the Democrats were when they birthed this misbegotten monstrosity. It’s not like the Obama administration waited for the SCOTUS to rule before moving forward with the provisions of the law. Tens of billions of dollars have already been spent, loaned or taxed. Entire industries have already been birthed to manage the transition to Obamacare. Existing programs have already had their budgets cut or raised. The horses have long ago left the barn.
It’s hard to decide which is worse now, the full revocation of the law, or the revocation of the individual mandate only. The first will throw our entire health care industry into chaos. The second will begin a “death of a thousand cuts” as Republicans and Democrats argue over every possible means of funding the existing provisions.
And through all of this, the main question Romney should be asking the American people is “How did a supposed Law ‘Professor’ get his law so wrong that he has thrown our entire economy and health care system into complete chaos by writing and signing an unconstitutional law?”