This could well be Newt’s last stand… As the primaries move north Mitt will have more of an edge and Newt more of a hurdle.

The nomination has always been Mitt’s to lose, and he’s doing just enough to not lose it.

As to whether he can actually win the election? Well, he has three things going for him.
1. He’s not Obama
2. He’s pretty
3. He’s tall

That’s how I see it. If I were Mitt I’d refuse to debate Obama both because Obama will kick his butt, but also because the mediators will be throwing “When did you stop beating your wife” questions at Mitt and “Can you explain how you are so awesome?” questions to Obama.