If the latest polls can be trusted (and when can they?) then there are some interesting trends developing that should be troubling the Obama re-election campaign. And one thing that the pundits are all wringing their hands over actually doesn’t matter at all.
The two major trends developing according to the polls are:
1. The hardcore Left is very angry with Obama, and support for a primary challenger is growing daily.
2. Another exodus of independent voters appears to be underway.
Now, the first one of those is what is getting all the press. That’s mostly because a lot of the reporters and editors who think that’s a huge story think so because it’s mostly all about THEM. They are angry with Obama for not being more successful in ramming a neo-collectivist agenda down the nation’s throat. In general these are the people who think that Obama has been playing too NICE with the Republicans. We are starting to hear a daily refrain of “We should have picked Hillary.” or “The 3 a.m. ad was RIGHT.”
But in the end, from a national election perspective, this is meaningless. These people are not going to vote Republican no matter who runs as the Democrat candidate. They could put Joe Biden at the top of the ticket and these idiots would enthusiastically vote for him ahead of even the most accomodating RINO. So all of this is mostly just ranting and raving which eventually means nothing.
But the new exodus of independents is something Obama has to be truly concerned about. Throughout Obama’s presidency there has been one thing that has held true, and that is when Obama loses an independent voter, he rarely gets them back. And that’s because these are the voters who were gullible enough to fall for Obama’s “Hopey/Changey” rhetoric and who were simply tired of George W. Bush. Now they are getting tired of Obama. For the most part these are centrist voters, and all of Obama’s efforts to wrap himself in a centrist disguise aren’t enough to completely hide from these voters the massively damaging liberal policies that Obama has pushed through.
These are the voters the Republicans must woo. If they do, then Obama will be remembered as a poor shadow on the reflection of Jimmy Carter. Which is a fairly apt description of his Presidency, I think.