If the latest polls can be trusted (and when can they?) then there are some interesting trends developing that should be troubling the Obama re-election campaign. And one thing that the pundits are all wringing their hands over actually doesn’t matter at all.
The two major trends developing according to the polls are:
1. The hardcore Left is very angry with Obama, and support for a primary challenger is growing daily.
2. Another exodus of independent voters appears to be underway.
Now, the first one of those is what is getting all the press. That’s mostly because a lot of the reporters and editors who think that’s a huge story think so because it’s mostly all about THEM. They are angry with Obama for not being more successful in ramming a neo-collectivist agenda down the nation’s throat. In general these are the people who think that Obama has been playing too NICE with the Republicans. We are starting to hear a daily refrain of “We should have picked Hillary.” or “The 3 a.m. ad was RIGHT.”
But in the end, from a national election perspective, this is meaningless. These people are not going to vote Republican no matter who runs as the Democrat candidate. They could put Joe Biden at the top of the ticket and these idiots would enthusiastically vote for him ahead of even the most accomodating RINO. So all of this is mostly just ranting and raving which eventually means nothing.
But the new exodus of independents is something Obama has to be truly concerned about. Throughout Obama’s presidency there has been one thing that has held true, and that is when Obama loses an independent voter, he rarely gets them back. And that’s because these are the voters who were gullible enough to fall for Obama’s “Hopey/Changey” rhetoric and who were simply tired of George W. Bush. Now they are getting tired of Obama. For the most part these are centrist voters, and all of Obama’s efforts to wrap himself in a centrist disguise aren’t enough to completely hide from these voters the massively damaging liberal policies that Obama has pushed through.
These are the voters the Republicans must woo. If they do, then Obama will be remembered as a poor shadow on the reflection of Jimmy Carter. Which is a fairly apt description of his Presidency, I think.
4 users commented in " Obama’s support eroding "
Follow-up comment rss or Leave a TrackbackIf the election was today, Obama would be landslid. But, it’s not today.
I have predicted for at least a year (maybe more) that Hillary would eventually resign, citing philosophical differences with the administration. Then she would be “forced” by supporters to challenge ObozO. As the clock ticks, that seems less likely. I thought she would leave by the first of 2011, and she obviously has not.
Still, she is aging. She was becoming irrelevant, until this latest drumbeat fired up. I think she may do it. If she doesn’t, she will miss her last best chance to actually become “the first.” I think that is VERY important to her. We’ll see.
As to ObozO losing the Independents. Yeah…the fickle masses are a puzzle. I think their vote will come down to how they “feel” on election day. Their memories are short, and commitments weak. They could just as easily support ObozO as Bachmann, Romney, or Ron Paul…it just depends on how they “feel.” I hate Independents.
Andy: I’m not sure who these ‘independents’ are, but we might be confusing them with those who have been referred to in the past as ‘moderates’. It’s these so-called moderates that strike me a fickle and unconvicted.
You see, I’m an independent, a conservative independent, and proud of it. It means my politics are governed by principle rather than party. Frankly, Republicans in recent years have governed against my conservative principles on so many occasions I can’t with good conscience formally align myself with them, although I will always vote for a Republican over a Democrat – at least in their current incarnations.
Today, I’m probably more aligned politically with the Tea Party. I hope you don’t hate me.
As I don’t know what platform the “Tea Party” adheres to, I can’t say I’m aligned with them. (Frankly, I think that they are as diverse on the political spectrum as you’ll find on every issue except fiscal matters…)
I have to laugh at the idiots on the left who think that Obama hasn’t been aggressively pursuing a progressive agenda – and with an astonishing (and frightening) amount of success. (Obamacare, Takeover of the auto industry, takeover of the student loan industry, co-opting the financial sector, emplacing progressives in every slot he could, using his regulatory powers to enact policies he couldn’t get passed in an all Democratic Congress, funneling billions to progressive organizations, turning the DOJ into a progressive organization, etc.) And, “not playing nice?”
When he has the ability, he pushes through his agenda without even the pretense of “bi-partisanship.” (“I won.”) When he doesn’t have the votes, he uses taxpayer dollars to buy the needed votes. (Heya Ben and Mary!) When he doesn’t have the votes and can’t buy the votes, he takes to the teleprompter and his lackeys in the MSM to excoriate the Republicans in hopes of swaying some weak-kneed “R’s.” When that doesn’t work, he goes on the attack, scorched earth style, blaming the conservatives for everything – then, back to trying to implement the policies he can’t get passed through Congress via regulation.
Obama has been ASTONISHING successful in pushing through the Progressive Agenda. He has been the most partisan President in living memory. (At least as to what he says/does in public.)
The problem is not that he hasn’t been successful; it’s that he’s been TOO successful. The problem is that a great big crapload of progressive thinking has become the official policy of the U.S., whether by law or regulation.
And, it ain’t working.
Well, if the GOAL of the policies were to actually be POSITIVE in that those policies were to make life better for Americans (as opposed to a small group of Americans – unions, federal employees, the dependent class, his corporate cronies), then the policies have failed.
On the other hand, if the GOAL is to destroy the American economic system (Clowers/Pivens) so to “transform” the U.S. into a more socialist nation from the ashes, then, I’m really not sure how he could have been MORE successful.
Excellent post, Drax.
Leave A Reply